Report for Model 6

— for both jointly and separately

2024-10-25

1. Joint Modeling

1.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

1.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum       1.00       1.00
## LDevsum       1.00       1.00
## dh0           1.02       1.07
## dh1           1.01       1.05
## dh2           1.00       1.00
## dl0           1.03       1.13
## dl1           1.02       1.05
## dl2           1.00       1.00
## dl3           1.02       1.07
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1.02

1.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

1.4 WAIC results

LevelH LevelL
DIC 1235.19486 24473.963
DIC3 1168.53361 21058.789
PWAIC 50.43742 1182.659
WAIC 1202.36863 21573.665

2. Separate Modeling of High-Level

2.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

2.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum       1.00       1.01
## dh0           1.02       1.03
## dh1           1.00       1.01
## dh2           1.01       1.01
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1

2.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

2.4 WAIC results

H2
DIC 1370.66057
DIC3 1237.49235
PWAIC 87.16183
WAIC 1304.39421

3. Separate Modeling for Low-level

3.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

3.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## LDevsum       1.00       1.00
## dl0           1.01       1.05
## dl1           1.01       1.04
## dl2           1.00       1.01
## dl3           1.03       1.09
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1.01

3.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

3.4 WAIC results

L7
DIC 24041.817
DIC3 20963.360
PWAIC 1181.658
WAIC 21476.015